Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.001347 0.001507 0.001667 0.001838 0.002016 0.002194 0.002387
2025-10-12 0.001106 0.001339 0.001577 0.001840 0.002117 0.002402 0.002714
2025-10-19 0.000896 0.001180 0.001480 0.001817 0.002181 0.002559 0.002979
2025-10-26 0.000723 0.001044 0.001394 0.001796 0.002237 0.002701 0.003222
2025-11-02 0.000579 0.000927 0.001318 0.001776 0.002288 0.002832 0.003448
2025-11-09 0.000463 0.000830 0.001257 0.001767 0.002344 0.002964 0.003672
2025-11-16 0.000371 0.000751 0.001209 0.001767 0.002406 0.003099 0.003895
2025-11-23 0.000293 0.000682 0.001166 0.001768 0.002466 0.003229 0.004110
2025-11-30 0.000254 0.000660 0.001179 0.001832 0.002594 0.003431 0.004402
2025-12-07 0.000193 0.000597 0.001136 0.001826 0.002640 0.003541 0.004590
2025-12-14 0.000129 0.000520 0.001070 0.001789 0.002647 0.003603 0.004723
2025-12-21 0.000097 0.000487 0.001057 0.001814 0.002725 0.003745 0.004942
2025-12-28 0.000049 0.000421 0.001011 0.001815 0.002795 0.003902 0.005208
2026-01-04 0.000017 0.000364 0.000974 0.001826 0.002880 0.004076 0.005496
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000298 0.000916 0.001810 0.002930 0.004212 0.005741
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000238 0.000861 0.001793 0.002977 0.004343 0.005980
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000186 0.000809 0.001776 0.003022 0.004471 0.006214
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000143 0.000766 0.001768 0.003077 0.004608 0.006457
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000109 0.000731 0.001769 0.003140 0.004753 0.006709
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000081 0.000699 0.001772 0.003203 0.004898 0.006959
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000072 0.000711 0.001835 0.003343 0.005132 0.007310
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000048 0.000677 0.001830 0.003394 0.005259 0.007537
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000023 0.000623 0.001792 0.003403 0.005335 0.007703